Disks are big enough that the provider will be able to preload the subscriber's box with tons of programming, either paid for by advertising, or encrypted and then unlocked when the subscriber pays for it.
Captioning in that kind of world would survive because it would still be produced by production houses with the discipline to do so.
Ideally I'd like to see amateur produced content lumped together with the big networks. I'd like to see a world where the only difference between CBS and a ten year old with a video camera is that CBS has a bigger budget and is more well known, but the underlying technology doesn't really distinguish between the two.
out there. Look at the amount of crap on
youtube right now.
Perhaps this discussion is better had in the Television room.
How do you make money in your scenario, IG? Sure, CBS etc. have larger studios with nicer equipment and all, but they're intending to make money from their content. If the content is simply given away, you have to rely on advertising to make money (much as they do now). If DVRs become a norm of some kind, and everyone skips the commercials, who would want to advertise and underwrite the content?
Currently, enough people see the commercials that it isn't an issue. But as this model becomes more popular, I wonder how content will get funded. I suspect you'd see more in-content advertising. Or it could end up sorta like the youtube ads, which could get very annoying (esp, if you can't click out of them).
I suspect there will still be a desire to have playlists of content that comes out much as television does today, but the days of 'reruns' for that stream might be gone (just browse for old content that's being stored on the network's server or something). I think the network 'stream' will always have new content, someday. Storage, I think, might become a huge issue... and bandwidth. Some interesting technical hurdles are coming.
Two Random thoughts based on ^^^
Somewhere I read a study that says that not nearly as many people with DVRs zip passed commercials than one would think. I think it has to do with forgetting you are watching a DVR (which happens to me from time to time) Not to say DVRs become more and more comfortable (and commonplace) that more and more start zipping pased the advertising.
The other one is based on the past. I like to listen to old radio programs (mainly Jack Benny) and in the early days, there were program sponsors as oposed to advertising. I wonder if shows started going back to a similar model, they could get more people watching the advertising. I also remember a few times where a network would place a billboard type ad around the pitcure (I recall one being a soccar match, with no stop time, another being a movie they didn't want to interrupt) That's another route advertisers could go in.
That leads me to believe that advertising may not disappear, but that the ad agencies will simply have to put more effort into creating commercials that grab your attention.
I've also been witness to in-content advertising, too. My father-in-law was watching the Indy 500 race recently on ESPN. Instead of just cutting to commercial, they did a side-by-side layout with the race on the left and the commercials on the right, with a host of statistics placed around the remainder of the screen. I found this to be a very clever solution to handle advertising without interrupting the programming.
Ad Binder
There'd have to be some filter on what goes
out there. Look at the amount of crap on
youtube right now.
http://www.theonion.com/video/youtube-contest-challenges-users-to-make-a-good-vi,14288/
and he's hysterical.
http://www.google.com/search?q=danny+electric+company&hl=en&safe=off&client=firefox-a&hs=eH5&rls=com.ubuntu:en-US:official&prmd=v&source= univ&tbs=vid:1&tbo=u&ei=4fEbTNy3A8G78gbEkeiDDA&sa=X&oi=video_result_group&ct=title&resnum=4&ved=0CDQQqwQwAw
*Especially* Tina Fey. She needs to be taken off the air permanently.
And, already, some folks are making parodies of the Old Spice Guy:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2ArIj236UHs
This one is for a library.
It's kinda hard to decide if you want to laugh or cry while watching these:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RcnWjQSlzgc
Timmy, whose parents are divorced, visits with his father for the weekend.
Can't tell you how many shows are unable to be aired b/c Hulu hasn't secured "streaming rights"
for the music contained w/in the show. It's not enough they have to have copyright & distribution rights but they need STREAMING rights, too -- for the f'n MUSIC!
Tue Sep 28 2010 00:25:13 EDT from Nite*Star @ UncensoredIt's not enough they have to have copyright & distribution rights but they need STREAMING rights, too -- for the f'n MUSIC!
Oh, and apparently, Netflix is also affected by the no-streaming-outside-the-US snafu, as well. (I have some friends on holiday in Canada & Mexico who are discovering this, and reporting, live, about their inability to watch their shows ...)